best for multi-entry. The Broncos offense didn't go over 28. Top 5 Team Implied Totals for Week 4’s Main Slate. teamA + teamB = O/U teamA - teamB = Spread. Whenever possible, lean into situation-adjusted stats over raw counting stats. 5; Opened: 38 FPI favorite: Rams by 2. The biggest disappointments last week were the Cowboys, Colts, and 49ers. Spread. 25 points). Chargers - 26. Betting on NFL win totals is a great way to invest in or against a. See the latest implied team totals for the 2023 NFL season, including the Chiefs, Dolphins, Bengals, Bills, Saints, Eagles, Cowboys, Colts, Panthers, Texans, Raiders, Vikings, Steelers, Titans, Buccaneers, Packers, Rams, Texans, Falcons, Vikings, Steelers, Titans, Raiders, Vikings, Steelers, Titans, Buccaneers, Packers, Rams, Texans, Falcons, Vikings, Steelers, Titans, Buccaneers, Packers, Rams, Texans, Falcons, Vikings, Steelers, Titans, Buccaneers, Packers, Rams, Texans, Falcons, Vikings, Steelers, Titans, Buccaneers, Packers, Rams, Texans, Falcons, Vikings, Steelers, Titans, Buccaneers, Packers, Rams Therefore, also in this example, the calculated implied team totals are: The favorite team has an implied total of 22. The Chiefs, Saints and Seahawks also have high implied team totals with their own cupcake matchups ahead. Pass vs. Implied team totals are key to NFL fantasy football, as you'll want to avoid teams with low projected totals, and lean into those who are. 5. Up to $1,000 in Bonus Bets. By going through every game in a week, we can quickly see which teams Vegas has scored big, and that will give us a clue as to what players have the best touchdown upside for start-em/sit-em decisions. Spread: Eagles -3 (-120), Lions +3 (+100) Over/Under Points Total: Over 48. Taylor Heinicke led an impressive fourth-quarter comeback to help Washington. Point Spread, Over/Under, Implied Team Total. Beyond picks, our betting subscription includes tools that can't be found anywhere else. Spread: Bengals (), Browns ()Moneyline: Bengals (), Browns ()Total: The Cincinnati Bengals are the favorites to win the AFC North for the third consecutive time this season. Although it's an obvious statement, the more points a team scores, the more likely fantasy points will follow. Week 11 Vegas Totals and Team Data. 75. The more we can contextualize in-season data and adjust it for the situation and opponent, the better. Las Vegas Raiders at Buffalo Bills: 47. Both teams are pace-up and both sport team implied totals of 25+. 5. The over/under for the Atlanta Falcons vs. Downs and the Colts have a 23-point implied team total at home against a Bucs that’s allowed the most fantasy points per target and second-most yards per route. Below are the current odds for Week 3 of the NFL season. Football is back! Lowest Week 3 Implied Totals. The league’s elite trio of the Bills, Chiefs and Eagles had or currently have projected advantages of 9 points or higher. Cleveland has one of the highest implied team totals (27. Clubs with the lowest lines on the board include the 1-8 Carolina Panthers at 4. Total: 40. Here are what the spreads looked like on Sunday, October 2 at 9 p. Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets. Top 5 Team Implied Totals for Week 4’s Main Slate. Top Implied Team Totals for Week 8: Main Slate Only. m. 5) Cowboys Moneyline: +154. Welcome to the Week 16 Vegas lines deconstruction. McEwan's SBD win. Both Eagles WRs. 5 (-110) Implied Score: Packers 27. 5 total and the Saints going under 20. Every week we will be looking at the top implied team totals for the main slate. The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, DVOA rankings, and more to help you get a head start on your research for the upcoming week. 8 a carry the week before. In other words, NFL Week 6 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based. 5. Colts - 23. Road Team Home Team Line Total Road Total Home Total Date Time (ET) Indianapolis Colts Buffalo Bills: BUF-7. Daily Fantasy Sports BettingNFL power rankings Week 5:San Francisco 49ers, Philadelphia Eagles lone undefeated teams. Implied totals: 49ers 27. 3– This game could go either way. Updated: May 11, 2023, 09:22 PM EDT. Implied totals had the Saints at 23, the Cardinals 25. 5) Washington Commanders Moneyline: +126. 5. 5 Niners - 26. Games/Teams to. ;. As you can see, teams like USC/Clemson have higher implied odds to go over their preseason win total of 10 vs. Total. The Colts took a hit this week (although not by much - they are tied for the 8th highest implied point total) while the Cowboys remain at the top. Create highly correlated lineups by pairing together players who positively correlate while avoiding negative correlation. Sam Darnold’s solid early season numbers appear to be an opponent- and situation-driven mirage. Home; Models Team Implied Total Spread O/U Opponent; 1: Dallas Cowboys: 30. Color Coding 1) Numbers in BLUE represent the “elite” category, in approximately the top 25th percentile. Kansas City Chiefs — 11. Over/Under Points Total: Over 49. Games/Teams to. 5. As a result, it makes sense to look at players from the following teams, especially in cash games. 47. The San Francisco 49ers. The table can be filtered by season, team, coach, and quarterback. Chubb is a strong DFS building block. This week is weird because there are no betting lines for two games: Texans/Vikings and Titans/Steelers. Their 22. 4% of dropbacks this season, fourth-most in the NFL, and a turnover on 18. 75 points, while the New York Jets have the lowest at 14. 75) Highest Game Over/Under - Packers v. (100/130 + 100)) =0. 3) against any team he has faced multiple times, including the playoffs. 5. Arizona Cardinals Win Total: 8. 9 in their games this year, 4. Schedule: Play Titans on Oct. Jerick McKinnon (+155) (Bet $100 to Collect $255) Click here for the best odds, available at Bet365The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, pace of play, and DVOA rankings to help you get an early start on the upcoming week. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. Utilize metrics like success rate and explosive play rates over total yards and points against. Nov 14, 2023Therefore, also in this example, the calculated implied team totals are: The favorite team has an implied total of 22. Every week we will be looking at the top implied team totals for the main slate. 0; Seattle @ Miami (Over/Under 53. 5, with the Jaguars favored by 1. NFL win total odds for all 32 teams in the 2023-24 regular season are available at top online sportsbooks. Saints Moneyline: -164. 5 Implied Team Total: Chargers (26) Cardinals (23) DeAndre. -110. In other words, NFL Week 9 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. Total: 36. RotoBaller Staff. Arizona Cardinals Record: 9-8 (Over) Arizona Cardinals Record: 8-9 (Under) In the above example, bettors taking the "Over" on the Arizona Cardinals would need the team to finish with at least nine victories or a record of likely 9-8 or better. Whenever possible, lean into situation-adjusted stats over raw counting stats. As you'll see in the current odds section, some games have already seen line movement. The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, pace of play, DVOA rankings and each team's projected starters to help you get an early start on the upcoming week. The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, pace of play, and DVOA rankings to help you get an early start on the upcoming week. If you’re unfamiliar with what we do in this piece, here’s the gist: We’re breaking the implied team total into three scoring types — passing, rushing, and kicking points. 00, a $100 bet would yield a total of $200 if successful, including the initial $100 stake. Whenever possible, lean into situation-adjusted stats over raw counting stats. m. See odds, over/under and spread for every NFL Week 4 game. Player Models; DFS Trends; Lineup Builder; Sports. The Chiefs won six straight after losing the season opener and have -175 odds at BetMGM to win over 11. Dolphins- 28. Russell Wilson leads the NFL getting 10. Chiefs -6. 91 units, with the Browns–Jets game going well over 39. The NFL schedule has been released, and we're only 119 days — as of Thursday night — from the opening game in Kansas City, which will feature Lions vs. One of the best ways to take part in NFL betting over the course of the year is wagering on win totals before the season begins. 5 points (25 points implied for the Jaguars, 23. 0545. Brown should remain the center of. As opposed to the total points scored in the game by both teams; which is the total or over/under. Baltimore ground their way to a second win on the season by scoring 27 points against the Bengals. Chargers- 27. 2022 NFL Win Totals: Tracking NFL Win Totals Entering Week 18. Here’s a game-by-game look at Week 2, which began with an AFC West showdown between the Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday night. For example, if the odds are 2. This page is updated constantly to capture the latest vegas odds, as well as show the corresponding implied team totals and win probabilities. The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, pace of play, and DVOA rankings to help you get an early start on the upcoming week. 5, Seahawks 22 Assuming Russell Wilson (finger) remains out and Aaron Rodgers is able to suit up after missing Week 9 with COVID, the 7-2 Packers should have no problem beating the 3-5 Seahawks at home by a comfortable margin. The game with a total that dwarfs all the others. Top 5 Team Implied Totals in Week 5. The bets went 2-1 last week with +0. Moneyline. Top Implied Team Totals for Week 8: Main Slate Only Dolphins- 28. Top Implied Team Totals for Week 3: Main Slate Only. com’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice heSee the matchups, spreads, and totals for NFL Week 16 below. Rungta identifies the best NFL win totals ahead of the 2023-24 NFL season. Here’s an updated list of where all 32 teams are compared to their win totals. 5; Ravens - 26. These two teams are representing the bottom half of the NFC East, and the Giants' win in their first matchup could prove costly for the now 4-6 Commanders. The right move here might be to bank on a high-scoring affair and take the over on Kansas City’s team total — the implied total is 30. 8 by Kareem Hunt . team date tm opp result td 1dwn off opp off 3dwn% 4dwn%Thanksgiving Game: Packers vs Lions Odds and Betting Analysis for Week 12. 482 episodes. Make sure to also look at the latest football betting promotions from the top sportsbooks. NFL Teams NFL Teams NFL Teams. This article is part of our DraftKings NFL series. NFL Week 10 Implied Team Totals: Cowboys Top Expected Points Despite Blowout Loss. 5 implied point total on the road as a 0-3 team. 0), but the Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers are right behind KC at 11. Over/Under Points Total: Over 44. Detroit has one of the highest implied team totals this week in a fast-paced matchup, and St. NFL Week 1 Implied Team Totals: KC, Tampa Bay Expected To Drop 30. Games/Teams to. Travis Kelce is the obvious stack partner with Mahomes, and you can also consider Richie James and Justin Watson , especially if Kadarius Toney is limited or out due to. The Steelers are 6-4-0 against the spread this season. In other words, NFL Week 4 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. 2 fewer points than this game's over/under. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 13 and beyond. Spread: Cowboys (-2. Seeing as teams are all over the place on this graph, we need to do a little adjustment to the win total. 5 prior to the Ja'Marr Chase news breaking spoiled my week here, but I have two early looks for Week 9. Total. Conditionally increase or decrease player. 5. Top Implied Team Totals for Week 1: Main Slate Only. Those ways include handicapping props, making fantasy decisions, etc. Our matchup page has you covered for each week of the NFL season. Each week, we review the highest and lowest implied team totals. They held Dalvin Cook to 2. 75;Note: “Vig” or “juice” is what the sportsbook charges for taking a certain bet. 39. RotoBaller Staff. m. Chargers - 26. Baltimore Ravens at. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. 5 Kyler Murray 2023 Top. 25). Of his 14 attempts, four came in the red zone. Tools. 5. Checking NFL early lines each week gives prospective football bettors a solid idea of trends that the sportsbooks and the public will enact for that week’s action. Ravens at Bengals. A total of 14 games go down this week in the NFL, including the first ever game in Munich, Germany as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers match up vs. Color Coding 1) Numbers in BLUE represent the “elite” category, in approximately the top 25th percentile. 8% implied probability to go over 7. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. This week, we drop the top 2022 scoring offenses for the top-scoring teams and. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. New Orleans at Carolina. There are currently no lines available for this sport. Remember that half points especially around key numbers like 3,4,6,7 and 10 turn pushes into wins and losses into pushes. 5 points! Dobbins leads the NFL in rushing yards over the last two weeks despite. 15-17, which features six games spread out over three days. 75. 5; Chiefs - 26. This bet type differs from sides and specifically totals. 5:. Later in the week, we’ll get a divisional showdown between the Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots. Every week we will be looking at the top implied team totals for the main slate. They play the Commanders, who have been playing good defense lately, particularly against the rush. 5 points and the Lions an implied team total of 23. ) Los Angeles Chargers (25. 5 points) and the Seahawks were one of the premier fantasy matchups for tight ends. Indianapolis. NFL DFS: Week 1 Matchups First Look - Totals, Salaries, Slates and more. Bills game still to be played. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 13 and. 5 points implied for the Texans). Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. Here’s a look ahead at odds for. Rookie RB Bijan Robinson showed why the team used a first-round draft pick on him this year, running for. 4 more points than this matchup's over/under. Carolina Panthers at New York Giants (1 p. 5. 47. NFL Week 6 betting lines. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 7 and beyond. Games/Teams to. Before the start of the season, I will post my NFL division-by-division predictions for the 2023 NFL regular season and postseason. Decimal odds show the total amount that can be won, including the original stake. Moneyline. Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Created 2 years ago, Last Updated 2 years ago. 5) CHARGERS. 5. Over/Under Points Total: Over 49. Ahaan S. NFL. 5 45. Fantasy points are most strongly correlated to team implied totals (how many points Vegas expects each team to score). Unders went 7-6 on Sunday despite it seeming like a high-scoring Sunday. New Orleans Saints: Their win total appears high at first glance, but they seem like the clear team to run away with the NFC South division. 30:58. Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills: 53. How is the NFL implied team total calculated? Types of NFL Totals Betting. Either there are no odds open to bet on, or the sport is not in season at this time. It’s hard to find a better combination of minutes and an affordable price tag than Kentavious Caldwell-Pope . m. MORE: Early NFL Week 4 Predictions and Picks Against the Spread. The Chiefs won 27-24, but failed to cover. The Bucs have a healthy 22. Among last week’s games, there were two five-point underdogs or more to win outright. Cleveland Browns On the surface, it feels like this Browns defense should be elite, but through three weeks thus far they’ve been far from it, allowing the 11th most fantasy points to opposing signal callers. 5-145. View NFL Total Points Odds from the top sportsbooks in the US. Top 5 Team Implied Totals in Week 15. The Eagles have -110 odds at Caesars to win over 12. NYJ. Spread. 75 Cowboys - 26. NFL. 0 in their contests this year, 2. Allen completes 31-37 for 274 yards and three TDs as Bills handle Raiders 38-10. Betting on NFL team totals is yet another type of wager you can place on NFL football. Throughout this piece, I will reference implied team totals, winning probabilities, and game over/unders that are acquired from our consensus odds collected over at BettingPros. 5 fewer points than this game's over/under. Readers can make use of these team. The Lions are also 5-2 ATS at home. So we have an estimate that is somewhat stable around v=0. Constantly trying to find an edge, Noonan focuses on player props, leveraging lookahead. 75) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (28. 5 I'm surprised the line isn't bigger on this one, though I'm pretty sure the Bills' implied total is the highest for any team this season. 5. NFL Week 3 Odds & Lines. Implied Team Totals refers to the number of goals a team is expected to score, according to Vegas lines. The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, DVOA rankings, and more to help you get a head start on your research for the coming week. Dolphins - 29. Favorites are 9-5 in Week 8 straight up and 6-7-1 against the spread. On the season, the NFL is 86-94 when it comes to hitting implied team totals. He’s one of the best pure values at the position on FanDuel given his 89% Bargain Rating, and the Timberwolves’ 121. 75 POINTS. as OddsShark lists them with an implied team total of 27. Lamb catches 11 for 143 as Cowboys top Jets 30-10. Opening NFL Week 4 Odds and Lines. In other words, NFL Week 15 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under . If you missed out on football news this summer, Aaron. NFL Week 8 odds and totals are out, and numbers are starting to move off injury news and results from Week 7. 5 in a 6 total game who's payout might be -105. 5. In what should be considered by most the game of the week, we have the 3-1 Dallas Cowboys facing the 4-0 San Francisco 49ers at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara. The Cardinals have made it clear that Kyler Murray won't be starting for them in Week 1 and there are even rumors he may sit. Implied Team Totals refers to the number of points a team is expected to score, according to Vegas lines. 5 (-115) Implied Score: Eagles 25. He ranks 16th in EPA per dropback, 27th in CPOE, and 21st in adjusted yards per attempt. 5. 75; Lions. Fractional odds display the potential profit relative to the stake. Fantasy points are most strongly correlated to team implied totals (how many points Vegas expects each team to score). The Jacksonville Jaguars head to New Orleans to take on the New Orleans Saints on Thursday to kick off Week 7 of the NFL season. 5 Chiefs -. 5, unchanged with under bet at minus-128. 5) of the week. We have totals, spreads, and moneylines. In fact, there are a few other sub-types of NFL totals. DeVonta Smith ($6,000) will be less popular than the other WRs in that range and we just saw him put up 34 fantasy points two weeks ago. For example, the Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans have a Vegas game total of 48. The team leaned on running back Zack Moss, as well. Those identical records were despite a -15 point differential for New Orleans and a -61 point differential for the Titans. The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, pace of play, and DVOA rankings to help you get an early start on the upcoming week. In other words, NFL Week 5 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. It's easy to use our NFL odds calculator. Child Bouncers Youngster A woman. San Francisco 49ers (-3. 5: 47. Tee Higgins (hamstring) was inactive in Week 10 and Ja’Marr Chase is playing. RotoBaller Staff. Chargers- 27. Here are teams with implied Vegas team totals that rank in the 80th percentile or better this week: In the chart above, you’re looking for is double green in the two colored columns. ; Buffalo Bills: Buffalo is priced as the second-best team based on the betting market, but PFF’s season-long simulation and a difficult schedule expect the team to finish short of its current win total. NY Jets. 0; Detroit Team Total: 25. Those ways include handicapping props, making fantasy decisions, etc. Here are. NFL totals odds just don’t refer to the combined total score. The market appears skeptical the Texans can repeat their offensive success. M. To calculate the implied team total for each squad, the following formula is used: Favorite: (Total/2) + (point spread/2) Underdog: (Total/2) - (point spread/2) Going back to our previous example, that gives the Chiefs an implied team total of 30. The Saints should have motivation in this spot as they can get a first-round bye if they win, along with a Packers loss and both teams play at 1:00 p. Thunder Dan Palyo looks into the NFL DFS projections for Week 10 to pick out some spots to attack and mispriced players for your FanDuel and DraftKings DFS lineups. 0 52. 5; Chiefs - 26. By most metrics, Stafford has been. 5. Utilize metrics like success rate and. San Francisco has won 2 of the last 2 games against Los Angeles. Max Bets On MLB Totals. Seattle is the second worst-graded defense on PFF following Week 1 and in this spot, the Lions boast the third-highest implied team total on the slate (26. First game: Detroit Lions at Chiefs (minus-6. m. Serious title contenders. The game with a total that dwarfs all the others. NFL Lineup Optimizers. Spread: Commanders (-9. 5. In other words, NFL Week 6 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under . This page is updated constantly to capture the latest vegas odds, as well as show the corresponding implied team totals and win probabilities. Top 5 Team Implied Totals for Week 3’s Main Slate. This chart shows the Caesar’s line for 2022 NFL win totals (code: PODFATHER15), 2022 xWins, and the percentage chance that the over hits, with implied odds at the far right (implied odds, meaning if my model set the lines based on my probabilities what would it be set at). NFL betting trends. 3 implied team total, which is good enough to put them into the top 10 on this slate. 5. Chiefs- 30. This does not necessarily mean these are automatically the best games to stack. Run TIME (ET) SLATE Offense Stats credit: Football Outsiders Adjusted Sack Rates. 75 implied team total trails only the Patriots this week. In other words, NFL Week 9 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. 8 Saturday 4:40 pm Tampa Bay Buccaneers Washington Football Team: TBB-8. Our matchup page has you covered for each week of the NFL season.